Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate small rain and increased cloud cover over Qingdao on September 24, with model consensus pointing to a daytime high near 25°C under southeast winds of 3–4 levels. These conditions suppress maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, consistent with late-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence typically caps extremes. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow modest warming, while lower-probability tails account for greater suppression if precipitation intensifies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify whether the thermal profile shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?
25°C 39%
31°C 38%
27°C 26%
26°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
15%
25°C
39%
26°C
24%
27°C
26%
28°C
23%
29°C
10%
30°C
9%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
4%
25°C 39%
31°C 38%
27°C 26%
26°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
23%
29°C
$12 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
38%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate small rain and increased cloud cover over Qingdao on September 24, with model consensus pointing to a daytime high near 25°C under southeast winds of 3–4 levels. These conditions suppress maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, consistent with late-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence typically caps extremes. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow modest warming, while lower-probability tails account for greater suppression if precipitation intensifies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify whether the thermal profile shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate small rain and increased cloud cover over Qingdao on September 24, with model consensus pointing to a daytime high near 25°C under southeast winds of 3–4 levels. These conditions suppress maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, consistent with late-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence typically caps extremes. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow modest warming, while lower-probability tails account for greater suppression if precipitation intensifies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify whether the thermal profile shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources indicate small rain and increased cloud cover over Qingdao on September 24, with model consensus pointing to a daytime high near 25°C under southeast winds of 3–4 levels. These conditions suppress maximum temperatures through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, consistent with late-September climatology for the coastal Shandong region where marine influence typically caps extremes. Trader emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow modest warming, while lower-probability tails account for greater suppression if precipitation intensifies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will clarify whether the thermal profile shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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