Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Wuhan around 34–36°C on August 1 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects potentially elevating readings. Historical data show August averages near 32–33°C, though recent July extremes reaching 39°C reflect ongoing warm anomalies that traders weigh against possible cooling from thundery showers or shifting wind patterns. Model consensus remains moderate due to inherent variability in short-range predictions, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at standard stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 1?
37°C 25%
36°C 19%
35°C 17%
38°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
9%
35°C
17%
36°C
22%
37°C
25%
38°C
12%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
3%
37°C 25%
36°C 19%
35°C 17%
38°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$20 Vol.
2%
33°C
$10 Vol.
11%
34°C
$36 Vol.
9%
35°C
$5 Vol.
17%
36°C
$75 Vol.
22%
37°C
$16 Vol.
25%
38°C
$17 Vol.
12%
39°C
$5 Vol.
5%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Wuhan around 34–36°C on August 1 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects potentially elevating readings. Historical data show August averages near 32–33°C, though recent July extremes reaching 39°C reflect ongoing warm anomalies that traders weigh against possible cooling from thundery showers or shifting wind patterns. Model consensus remains moderate due to inherent variability in short-range predictions, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$185End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Wuhan around 34–36°C on August 1 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects potentially elevating readings. Historical data show August averages near 32–33°C, though recent July extremes reaching 39°C reflect ongoing warm anomalies that traders weigh against possible cooling from thundery showers or shifting wind patterns. Model consensus remains moderate due to inherent variability in short-range predictions, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$185End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Wuhan around 34–36°C on August 1 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and urban heat island effects potentially elevating readings. Historical data show August averages near 32–33°C, though recent July extremes reaching 39°C reflect ongoing warm anomalies that traders weigh against possible cooling from thundery showers or shifting wind patterns. Model consensus remains moderate due to inherent variability in short-range predictions, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at standard stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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