Current high-pressure patterns and subsidence over southern England are supporting clear skies and light winds, enabling daytime solar heating to push London’s maximum temperature on August 1 toward 25–27 °C according to the latest Met Office and BBC runs. Model consensus highlights modest warm advection from the continent tempered by a fresher northwesterly flow, keeping values near or slightly above the long-term early-August average of ~22 °C without triggering the stronger heat advection seen earlier in the warm 2026 summer. Traders have clustered around the 26 °C outcome (47.5 % implied probability) as the balance of recent model updates and historical verification favors this narrow range over cooler or hotter extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 1?
Highest temperature in London on August 1?
26°C 41%
25°C 30%
24°C 17%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
17%
25°C
30%
26°C
41%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 30%
24°C 17%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$28 Vol.
2%
23°C
$125 Vol.
7%
24°C
$17 Vol.
17%
25°C
$10 Vol.
30%
26°C
$892 Vol.
41%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$10 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$6 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure patterns and subsidence over southern England are supporting clear skies and light winds, enabling daytime solar heating to push London’s maximum temperature on August 1 toward 25–27 °C according to the latest Met Office and BBC runs. Model consensus highlights modest warm advection from the continent tempered by a fresher northwesterly flow, keeping values near or slightly above the long-term early-August average of ~22 °C without triggering the stronger heat advection seen earlier in the warm 2026 summer. Traders have clustered around the 26 °C outcome (47.5 % implied probability) as the balance of recent model updates and historical verification favors this narrow range over cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$893End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-pressure patterns and subsidence over southern England are supporting clear skies and light winds, enabling daytime solar heating to push London’s maximum temperature on August 1 toward 25–27 °C according to the latest Met Office and BBC runs. Model consensus highlights modest warm advection from the continent tempered by a fresher northwesterly flow, keeping values near or slightly above the long-term early-August average of ~22 °C without triggering the stronger heat advection seen earlier in the warm 2026 summer. Traders have clustered around the 26 °C outcome (47.5 % implied probability) as the balance of recent model updates and historical verification favors this narrow range over cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$893End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure patterns and subsidence over southern England are supporting clear skies and light winds, enabling daytime solar heating to push London’s maximum temperature on August 1 toward 25–27 °C according to the latest Met Office and BBC runs. Model consensus highlights modest warm advection from the continent tempered by a fresher northwesterly flow, keeping values near or slightly above the long-term early-August average of ~22 °C without triggering the stronger heat advection seen earlier in the warm 2026 summer. Traders have clustered around the 26 °C outcome (47.5 % implied probability) as the balance of recent model updates and historical verification favors this narrow range over cooler or hotter extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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