**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Jeddah on August 3 favors outcomes at or above 40°C, with 41°C or higher carrying the highest implied probability at 46.5%.** Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and ArabiaWeather points to daytime maxima near 38–41°C under typical August conditions of clear skies, strong solar heating, and light northerly winds influenced by the Red Sea. Historical August averages for the city hover around 37–39°C, though late-July observations reached 42°C, supporting the elevated odds for 40°C+ readings. High humidity from the adjacent sea moderates perceived heat but has limited impact on official dry-bulb maxima. With the date only two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress temperatures below 39°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 3?
41°C or higher 49%
40°C 25%
39°C 12%
38°C 7%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
2%
38°C
7%
39°C
12%
40°C
25%
41°C or higher
49%
41°C or higher 49%
40°C 25%
39°C 12%
38°C 7%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
2%
38°C
7%
39°C
12%
40°C
25%
41°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Jeddah on August 3 favors outcomes at or above 40°C, with 41°C or higher carrying the highest implied probability at 46.5%.** Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and ArabiaWeather points to daytime maxima near 38–41°C under typical August conditions of clear skies, strong solar heating, and light northerly winds influenced by the Red Sea. Historical August averages for the city hover around 37–39°C, though late-July observations reached 42°C, supporting the elevated odds for 40°C+ readings. High humidity from the adjacent sea moderates perceived heat but has limited impact on official dry-bulb maxima. With the date only two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress temperatures below 39°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions