Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Seoul and Incheon minimum temperatures on August 3, 2026, likely ranging 26–27°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of peak summer. These align with historical August averages of 23–24°C lows while reflecting slightly elevated readings from ongoing warm, humid air masses. Trader consensus centers on 26°C (44% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with 25°C and 27°C close behind, because short-range model runs show limited overnight cooling potential amid high humidity and minimal frontal activity. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could shift probabilities if cooler maritime air intrudes or clear-sky radiational cooling strengthens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
26°C 44%
25°C 25%
27°C 23%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
25%
26°C
44%
27°C
23%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 44%
25°C 25%
27°C 23%
28°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$139 Vol.
2%
23°C
$33 Vol.
3%
24°C
$72 Vol.
5%
25°C
$33 Vol.
25%
26°C
$498 Vol.
44%
27°C
$55 Vol.
23%
28°C
$33 Vol.
8%
29°C
$285 Vol.
2%
30°C
$32 Vol.
2%
31°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$129 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Seoul and Incheon minimum temperatures on August 3, 2026, likely ranging 26–27°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of peak summer. These align with historical August averages of 23–24°C lows while reflecting slightly elevated readings from ongoing warm, humid air masses. Trader consensus centers on 26°C (44% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with 25°C and 27°C close behind, because short-range model runs show limited overnight cooling potential amid high humidity and minimal frontal activity. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could shift probabilities if cooler maritime air intrudes or clear-sky radiational cooling strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,351End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Seoul and Incheon minimum temperatures on August 3, 2026, likely ranging 26–27°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of peak summer. These align with historical August averages of 23–24°C lows while reflecting slightly elevated readings from ongoing warm, humid air masses. Trader consensus centers on 26°C (44% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with 25°C and 27°C close behind, because short-range model runs show limited overnight cooling potential amid high humidity and minimal frontal activity. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could shift probabilities if cooler maritime air intrudes or clear-sky radiational cooling strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,351End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Seoul and Incheon minimum temperatures on August 3, 2026, likely ranging 26–27°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions typical of peak summer. These align with historical August averages of 23–24°C lows while reflecting slightly elevated readings from ongoing warm, humid air masses. Trader consensus centers on 26°C (44% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with 25°C and 27°C close behind, because short-range model runs show limited overnight cooling potential amid high humidity and minimal frontal activity. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could shift probabilities if cooler maritime air intrudes or clear-sky radiational cooling strengthens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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