Recent Met Office and European model runs indicate overnight minima in London around 17–19°C for August 5, with trader consensus split between 18°C and 19°C reflecting modest spread in ensemble guidance. Building high pressure favors partly clear skies and light winds that promote limited radiative cooling, while higher humidity and residual cloud from prior Atlantic flow cap how far temperatures drop. Urban heat-island effects at London City Airport further moderate the lowest reading relative to rural sites. Model disagreement on exact cloud timing and wind strength over the next 48 hours keeps the 16–20°C range tightly bunched, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 5?
Lowest temperature in London on August 5?
18°C 37%
19°C 34%
15°C 19%
17°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
15%
15°C
19%
16°C
10%
17°C
16%
18°C
43%
19°C
34%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 34%
15°C 19%
17°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
$54 Vol.
1%
14°C
$51 Vol.
15%
15°C
$135 Vol.
19%
16°C
$15 Vol.
10%
17°C
$0 Vol.
16%
18°C
$66 Vol.
43%
19°C
$0 Vol.
34%
20°C
$11 Vol.
15%
21°C
$15 Vol.
2%
22°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$94 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs indicate overnight minima in London around 17–19°C for August 5, with trader consensus split between 18°C and 19°C reflecting modest spread in ensemble guidance. Building high pressure favors partly clear skies and light winds that promote limited radiative cooling, while higher humidity and residual cloud from prior Atlantic flow cap how far temperatures drop. Urban heat-island effects at London City Airport further moderate the lowest reading relative to rural sites. Model disagreement on exact cloud timing and wind strength over the next 48 hours keeps the 16–20°C range tightly bunched, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$516End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs indicate overnight minima in London around 17–19°C for August 5, with trader consensus split between 18°C and 19°C reflecting modest spread in ensemble guidance. Building high pressure favors partly clear skies and light winds that promote limited radiative cooling, while higher humidity and residual cloud from prior Atlantic flow cap how far temperatures drop. Urban heat-island effects at London City Airport further moderate the lowest reading relative to rural sites. Model disagreement on exact cloud timing and wind strength over the next 48 hours keeps the 16–20°C range tightly bunched, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$516End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model runs indicate overnight minima in London around 17–19°C for August 5, with trader consensus split between 18°C and 19°C reflecting modest spread in ensemble guidance. Building high pressure favors partly clear skies and light winds that promote limited radiative cooling, while higher humidity and residual cloud from prior Atlantic flow cap how far temperatures drop. Urban heat-island effects at London City Airport further moderate the lowest reading relative to rural sites. Model disagreement on exact cloud timing and wind strength over the next 48 hours keeps the 16–20°C range tightly bunched, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at the official station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions