Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High and warm, humid advection, position 33–35°C as the leading outcomes for Busan’s August 5 daily high, with market-implied odds favoring 34°C at 40%. Recent KMA heatwave warnings and the confirmed 39°C peak on August 1 reflect persistent extreme heat that could linger, though short-range models currently converge on slightly moderated daytime maxima near 31–33°C amid coastal influences. Traders weigh forecast uncertainty, potential model revisions, and typical August climatology (rarely exceeding 32°C) against the active heat episode when assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 5?
34°C 46%
33°C 26%
35°C 22%
32°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
26%
34°C
46%
35°C
22%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 46%
33°C 26%
35°C 22%
32°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
5%
32°C
$2 Vol.
8%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$94 Vol.
46%
35°C
$0 Vol.
22%
36°C
$42 Vol.
5%
37°C
$19 Vol.
3%
38°C
$35 Vol.
2%
39°C
$35 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$44 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High and warm, humid advection, position 33–35°C as the leading outcomes for Busan’s August 5 daily high, with market-implied odds favoring 34°C at 40%. Recent KMA heatwave warnings and the confirmed 39°C peak on August 1 reflect persistent extreme heat that could linger, though short-range models currently converge on slightly moderated daytime maxima near 31–33°C amid coastal influences. Traders weigh forecast uncertainty, potential model revisions, and typical August climatology (rarely exceeding 32°C) against the active heat episode when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$276End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High and warm, humid advection, position 33–35°C as the leading outcomes for Busan’s August 5 daily high, with market-implied odds favoring 34°C at 40%. Recent KMA heatwave warnings and the confirmed 39°C peak on August 1 reflect persistent extreme heat that could linger, though short-range models currently converge on slightly moderated daytime maxima near 31–33°C amid coastal influences. Traders weigh forecast uncertainty, potential model revisions, and typical August climatology (rarely exceeding 32°C) against the active heat episode when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$276End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by the North Pacific High and warm, humid advection, position 33–35°C as the leading outcomes for Busan’s August 5 daily high, with market-implied odds favoring 34°C at 40%. Recent KMA heatwave warnings and the confirmed 39°C peak on August 1 reflect persistent extreme heat that could linger, though short-range models currently converge on slightly moderated daytime maxima near 31–33°C amid coastal influences. Traders weigh forecast uncertainty, potential model revisions, and typical August climatology (rarely exceeding 32°C) against the active heat episode when assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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