Beijing's early August temperatures typically peak near 31–34°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and continental climate patterns, with the urban heat island effect adding roughly 2°C in the city center compared to surrounding areas. Current short-term model guidance supports this range for August 3, 2026, amid moderate humidity and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could limit daytime maxima. Trader emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes reflects climatological baselines and limited forecast divergence, though rapid shifts in steering flows or convective activity introduce uncertainty in exact peak readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution based on verified station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 3?
34°C 32%
33°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 9%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
20%
33°C
26%
34°C
32%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 32%
33°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 9%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
20%
33°C
26%
34°C
32%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's early August temperatures typically peak near 31–34°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and continental climate patterns, with the urban heat island effect adding roughly 2°C in the city center compared to surrounding areas. Current short-term model guidance supports this range for August 3, 2026, amid moderate humidity and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could limit daytime maxima. Trader emphasis on 32–34°C outcomes reflects climatological baselines and limited forecast divergence, though rapid shifts in steering flows or convective activity introduce uncertainty in exact peak readings. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution based on verified station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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