Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to daytime highs near 36–38°C (98–100°F) across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 5 amid ongoing summer heat, with Incheon’s coastal location and airport station measurements introducing slight cooling relative to urban Seoul. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels modulating radiative heating, light winds limiting mixing, and potential afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers that could cap the peak. Official KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show narrow spreads around these values, creating close market-implied odds between 33–36°C while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
33°C 21%
36°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
21%
34°C
34%
35°C
29%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
7%
34°C 34%
35°C 29%
33°C 21%
36°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$24 Vol.
2%
32°C
$85 Vol.
10%
33°C
$14 Vol.
21%
34°C
$99 Vol.
34%
35°C
$51 Vol.
29%
36°C
$15 Vol.
14%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to daytime highs near 36–38°C (98–100°F) across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 5 amid ongoing summer heat, with Incheon’s coastal location and airport station measurements introducing slight cooling relative to urban Seoul. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels modulating radiative heating, light winds limiting mixing, and potential afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers that could cap the peak. Official KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show narrow spreads around these values, creating close market-implied odds between 33–36°C while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$313End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to daytime highs near 36–38°C (98–100°F) across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 5 amid ongoing summer heat, with Incheon’s coastal location and airport station measurements introducing slight cooling relative to urban Seoul. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels modulating radiative heating, light winds limiting mixing, and potential afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers that could cap the peak. Official KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show narrow spreads around these values, creating close market-implied odds between 33–36°C while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$313End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to daytime highs near 36–38°C (98–100°F) across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 5 amid ongoing summer heat, with Incheon’s coastal location and airport station measurements introducing slight cooling relative to urban Seoul. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels modulating radiative heating, light winds limiting mixing, and potential afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers that could cap the peak. Official KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show narrow spreads around these values, creating close market-implied odds between 33–36°C while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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