Recent National Weather Service and international model runs indicate Shanghai's August 5 maximum will likely reach 33–35 °C under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge and southerly flow. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap temperatures near 33 °C while clearer breaks allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, directly influencing the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
34°C 42%
33°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
13%
33°C
36%
34°C
42%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 42%
33°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$128 Vol.
2%
31°C
$130 Vol.
8%
32°C
$2 Vol.
13%
33°C
$145 Vol.
36%
34°C
$276 Vol.
42%
35°C
$19 Vol.
14%
36°C
$22 Vol.
6%
37°C
$32 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model runs indicate Shanghai's August 5 maximum will likely reach 33–35 °C under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge and southerly flow. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap temperatures near 33 °C while clearer breaks allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, directly influencing the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$769End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and international model runs indicate Shanghai's August 5 maximum will likely reach 33–35 °C under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge and southerly flow. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap temperatures near 33 °C while clearer breaks allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, directly influencing the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$769End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and international model runs indicate Shanghai's August 5 maximum will likely reach 33–35 °C under the influence of a persistent subtropical ridge and southerly flow. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier showers could cap temperatures near 33 °C while clearer breaks allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. These conditions align with typical early-August climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where humidity and weak steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak, directly influencing the narrow spread between the leading market outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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