Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 7?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 7?
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
35°C or higher 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C or higher
16%
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
35°C or higher 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
25°C or below
$457 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$300 Vol.
4%
29°C
$137 Vol.
4%
30°C
$118 Vol.
8%
31°C
$143 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,790 Vol.
26%
33°C
$191 Vol.
22%
34°C
$240 Vol.
12%
35°C or higher
$1,090 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,610End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,610End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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