Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a moderating influence from cloud cover and possible light precipitation ahead of August 7, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32°C rather than the seasonal average of 33–34°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble model guidance showing variable steering patterns in the East Asian monsoon regime. Chongqing's enclosed basin topography and high humidity amplify local heating under clear skies but allow rapid cooling with increased moisture or frontal activity, as evidenced by the unusually low 24°C peak recorded on August 3. Short-term updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 7?
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
29%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
30°C 16%
33°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
29%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a moderating influence from cloud cover and possible light precipitation ahead of August 7, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32°C rather than the seasonal average of 33–34°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble model guidance showing variable steering patterns in the East Asian monsoon regime. Chongqing's enclosed basin topography and high humidity amplify local heating under clear skies but allow rapid cooling with increased moisture or frontal activity, as evidenced by the unusually low 24°C peak recorded on August 3. Short-term updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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