Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Wuhan on August 6 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the mid-30s°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with the subtropical high promoting clear skies and strong diurnal heating that favors peaks near 35–36°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs around 34°C, occasionally elevated by stagnant warm air masses, while recent observations and short-range guidance reveal modest variability from humidity levels near 65–75% and light winds that limit extreme spikes or rapid cooling. Model consensus remains tight but includes small spreads from potential afternoon convection or minor steering flow shifts, directly explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes ahead of updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
36°C 31%
35°C 25%
37°C 20%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
12%
35°C
25%
36°C
31%
37°C
20%
38°C
7%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 31%
35°C 25%
37°C 20%
34°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$10 Vol.
9%
34°C
$3 Vol.
12%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C
$58 Vol.
31%
37°C
$23 Vol.
20%
38°C
$6 Vol.
7%
39°C
$31 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Wuhan on August 6 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the mid-30s°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with the subtropical high promoting clear skies and strong diurnal heating that favors peaks near 35–36°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs around 34°C, occasionally elevated by stagnant warm air masses, while recent observations and short-range guidance reveal modest variability from humidity levels near 65–75% and light winds that limit extreme spikes or rapid cooling. Model consensus remains tight but includes small spreads from potential afternoon convection or minor steering flow shifts, directly explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes ahead of updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$169End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Wuhan on August 6 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the mid-30s°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with the subtropical high promoting clear skies and strong diurnal heating that favors peaks near 35–36°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs around 34°C, occasionally elevated by stagnant warm air masses, while recent observations and short-range guidance reveal modest variability from humidity levels near 65–75% and light winds that limit extreme spikes or rapid cooling. Model consensus remains tight but includes small spreads from potential afternoon convection or minor steering flow shifts, directly explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes ahead of updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$169End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Wuhan on August 6 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the mid-30s°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with the subtropical high promoting clear skies and strong diurnal heating that favors peaks near 35–36°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs around 34°C, occasionally elevated by stagnant warm air masses, while recent observations and short-range guidance reveal modest variability from humidity levels near 65–75% and light winds that limit extreme spikes or rapid cooling. Model consensus remains tight but includes small spreads from potential afternoon convection or minor steering flow shifts, directly explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes ahead of updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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