Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C for August 6, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions under high humidity and weak synoptic forcing. Model consensus shows limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat island effects and southeasterly flow, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 25–26°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences appear imminent within the 48-hour window, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 27–28°C band as the most probable range while acknowledging potential variance from localized convective activity or slight forecast shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
28°C 45%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
25%
28°C
45%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 45%
27°C 25%
29°C 20%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$57 Vol.
1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
4%
26°C
$15 Vol.
7%
27°C
$32 Vol.
25%
28°C
$201 Vol.
45%
29°C
$55 Vol.
20%
30°C
$57 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C for August 6, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions under high humidity and weak synoptic forcing. Model consensus shows limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat island effects and southeasterly flow, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 25–26°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences appear imminent within the 48-hour window, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 27–28°C band as the most probable range while acknowledging potential variance from localized convective activity or slight forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$480End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C for August 6, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions under high humidity and weak synoptic forcing. Model consensus shows limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat island effects and southeasterly flow, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 25–26°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences appear imminent within the 48-hour window, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 27–28°C band as the most probable range while acknowledging potential variance from localized convective activity or slight forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$480End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 27–28°C for August 6, aligning with typical mid-summer conditions under high humidity and weak synoptic forcing. Model consensus shows limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat island effects and southeasterly flow, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 25–26°C. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences appear imminent within the 48-hour window, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 27–28°C band as the most probable range while acknowledging potential variance from localized convective activity or slight forecast shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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