Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daily maximum near 39–40 °C for Jeddah on 6 August, reflecting the seasonal baseline of 37–38 °C augmented by 1–2 °C above-normal anomalies across western Saudi Arabia. Coastal Red Sea moderation typically caps extremes relative to inland stations, yet persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with trader positioning centered on the 40 °C outcome as the most probable threshold given these verified projections and historical August records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 6?
40°C 42%
41°C 23%
42°C or higher 16%
39°C 15%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
15%
40°C
42%
41°C
23%
42°C or higher
16%
40°C 42%
41°C 23%
42°C or higher 16%
39°C 15%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
15%
40°C
42%
41°C
23%
42°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Center of Meteorology guidance and extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a daily maximum near 39–40 °C for Jeddah on 6 August, reflecting the seasonal baseline of 37–38 °C augmented by 1–2 °C above-normal anomalies across western Saudi Arabia. Coastal Red Sea moderation typically caps extremes relative to inland stations, yet persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime heating. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with trader positioning centered on the 40 °C outcome as the most probable threshold given these verified projections and historical August records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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