Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 87°F for Central Park on August 6 amid southwesterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating. These conditions create tight clustering around the 86–91°F brackets, with traders weighting the balance between modest subsidence warming and convective cooling or cloud cover. Broader August outlooks favor above-normal temperatures relative to the 83°F climatological average, yet short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keep resolution thresholds finely balanced and sensitive to the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 6?
88-89°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 26%
92-93°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$95 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$88 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$15 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$40 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$23 Vol.
26%
88-89°F
$188 Vol.
37%
90-91°F
$96 Vol.
30%
92-93°F
$117 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$342 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 87°F for Central Park on August 6 amid southwesterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating. These conditions create tight clustering around the 86–91°F brackets, with traders weighting the balance between modest subsidence warming and convective cooling or cloud cover. Broader August outlooks favor above-normal temperatures relative to the 83°F climatological average, yet short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keep resolution thresholds finely balanced and sensitive to the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,373End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 87°F for Central Park on August 6 amid southwesterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating. These conditions create tight clustering around the 86–91°F brackets, with traders weighting the balance between modest subsidence warming and convective cooling or cloud cover. Broader August outlooks favor above-normal temperatures relative to the 83°F climatological average, yet short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keep resolution thresholds finely balanced and sensitive to the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,373End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 87°F for Central Park on August 6 amid southwesterly flow and afternoon thunderstorm chances that could cap afternoon heating. These conditions create tight clustering around the 86–91°F brackets, with traders weighting the balance between modest subsidence warming and convective cooling or cloud cover. Broader August outlooks favor above-normal temperatures relative to the 83°F climatological average, yet short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keep resolution thresholds finely balanced and sensitive to the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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