National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the key resolution station, currently project a high near 77°F on August 6 under persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits coastal warming. This aligns with recent observed highs of 77–78°F and supports the market's heavy weighting toward the 76–79°F range. Broader regional heat has been confined inland, leaving coastal areas seasonably mild relative to August climatology of 84°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 6?
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 38%
80-81°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
55%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 38%
80-81°F 5%
74-75°F 4%
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
NEW
$14,175 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
69°F or below
$541 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$634 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$440 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$647 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$1,960 Vol.
38%
78-79°F
$4,647 Vol.
55%
80-81°F
$574 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$359 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$636 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,900 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the key resolution station, currently project a high near 77°F on August 6 under persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits coastal warming. This aligns with recent observed highs of 77–78°F and supports the market's heavy weighting toward the 76–79°F range. Broader regional heat has been confined inland, leaving coastal areas seasonably mild relative to August climatology of 84°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$14,175End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the key resolution station, currently project a high near 77°F on August 6 under persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits coastal warming. This aligns with recent observed highs of 77–78°F and supports the market's heavy weighting toward the 76–79°F range. Broader regional heat has been confined inland, leaving coastal areas seasonably mild relative to August climatology of 84°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,175End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport, the key resolution station, currently project a high near 77°F on August 6 under persistent marine layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits coastal warming. This aligns with recent observed highs of 77–78°F and supports the market's heavy weighting toward the 76–79°F range. Broader regional heat has been confined inland, leaving coastal areas seasonably mild relative to August climatology of 84°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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