Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 5?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 5?
76-77°F 64%
74-75°F 20%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 1.7%
NEW
$26,148 Vol.
NEW
$26,148 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
64%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 64%
74-75°F 20%
78-79°F 14%
80-81°F 1.7%
NEW
$26,148 Vol.
NEW
$26,148 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
$598 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$391 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$781 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,201 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$5,561 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$4,051 Vol.
64%
78-79°F
$3,839 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$752 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$601 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,311 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$5,062 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$26,148End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,148End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions