The closely matched market odds between 32°C (49.5%) and 33°C (41.5%) for Singapore’s August 5 maximum stem primarily from the National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projecting 33–34°C on most early-August days under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, offset by ensemble model guidance and climatological averages near 31°C. Drier-than-recent conditions and occasional windy periods reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime heating, while localized afternoon thundery showers and high humidity (typically 70–80%) introduce variability in peak readings. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines and the narrow resolution window, with updated NEA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs expected to clarify the outcome before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 5?
32°C 50%
33°C 42%
30°C 8%
34°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C
50%
33°C
42%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
33°C 42%
30°C 8%
34°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$44 Vol.
4%
30°C
$46 Vol.
8%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C
$123 Vol.
50%
33°C
$64 Vol.
42%
34°C
$5 Vol.
8%
35°C
$37 Vol.
4%
36°C
$49 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 32°C (49.5%) and 33°C (41.5%) for Singapore’s August 5 maximum stem primarily from the National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projecting 33–34°C on most early-August days under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, offset by ensemble model guidance and climatological averages near 31°C. Drier-than-recent conditions and occasional windy periods reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime heating, while localized afternoon thundery showers and high humidity (typically 70–80%) introduce variability in peak readings. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines and the narrow resolution window, with updated NEA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs expected to clarify the outcome before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$392End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds between 32°C (49.5%) and 33°C (41.5%) for Singapore’s August 5 maximum stem primarily from the National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projecting 33–34°C on most early-August days under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, offset by ensemble model guidance and climatological averages near 31°C. Drier-than-recent conditions and occasional windy periods reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime heating, while localized afternoon thundery showers and high humidity (typically 70–80%) introduce variability in peak readings. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines and the narrow resolution window, with updated NEA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs expected to clarify the outcome before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$392End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds between 32°C (49.5%) and 33°C (41.5%) for Singapore’s August 5 maximum stem primarily from the National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projecting 33–34°C on most early-August days under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, offset by ensemble model guidance and climatological averages near 31°C. Drier-than-recent conditions and occasional windy periods reduce cloud cover and enhance daytime heating, while localized afternoon thundery showers and high humidity (typically 70–80%) introduce variability in peak readings. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines and the narrow resolution window, with updated NEA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs expected to clarify the outcome before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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