Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a likely daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 7, driven by building high pressure and strong daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions before possible late-day thunderstorms. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and European model runs project highs of 32–33°C, with some uncertainty from variable cloud cover or Atlantic air intrusions that could cap temperatures at 29–30°C. Recent observations show a warming trend from 28–30°C earlier in the week, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where Moscow averages near 23°C but experiences frequent 5–8°C deviations. The close clustering of market probabilities around 29–31°C reflects this narrow forecast spread and the sensitivity of maximum temperature to exact timing of any convective activity or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official Roshydromet briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.