Latest forecast guidance from global models places Moscow's August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 36.5–39 % market split between those bins. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from afternoon convective timing and variable low-level moisture, which can trim peak readings by 1–2 °C under increased cloud cover. Surface observations from recent days show a warming trend under weak high pressure, consistent with climatological late-summer peaks but tempered by a passing frontal boundary. Resolution hinges on official Russian Meteorological Service station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo, where urban heat-island effects may add marginal warmth. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature profiles over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
30°C 38%
29°C 37%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
37%
30°C
38%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 37%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$707 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$270 Vol.
1%
27°C
$262 Vol.
2%
28°C
$418 Vol.
15%
29°C
$636 Vol.
37%
30°C
$404 Vol.
38%
31°C
$1,140 Vol.
12%
32°C
$236 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$129 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from global models places Moscow's August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 36.5–39 % market split between those bins. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from afternoon convective timing and variable low-level moisture, which can trim peak readings by 1–2 °C under increased cloud cover. Surface observations from recent days show a warming trend under weak high pressure, consistent with climatological late-summer peaks but tempered by a passing frontal boundary. Resolution hinges on official Russian Meteorological Service station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo, where urban heat-island effects may add marginal warmth. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature profiles over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,046End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from global models places Moscow's August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 36.5–39 % market split between those bins. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from afternoon convective timing and variable low-level moisture, which can trim peak readings by 1–2 °C under increased cloud cover. Surface observations from recent days show a warming trend under weak high pressure, consistent with climatological late-summer peaks but tempered by a passing frontal boundary. Resolution hinges on official Russian Meteorological Service station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo, where urban heat-island effects may add marginal warmth. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature profiles over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,046End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from global models places Moscow's August 6 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 36.5–39 % market split between those bins. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from afternoon convective timing and variable low-level moisture, which can trim peak readings by 1–2 °C under increased cloud cover. Surface observations from recent days show a warming trend under weak high pressure, consistent with climatological late-summer peaks but tempered by a passing frontal boundary. Resolution hinges on official Russian Meteorological Service station data at Vnukovo or Domodedovo, where urban heat-island effects may add marginal warmth. Updated model runs and satellite-derived temperature profiles over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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