Recent Met Office guidance highlights mostly settled high pressure over southern England, with clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into August 7 promoting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 14°C in central London. This aligns with the seasonal average low of 13°C and recent nightly readings of 13–14°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 14–15°C outcomes, while stronger winds or increased humidity could nudge the low marginally higher. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute Met Office briefing will be the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 7?
Lowest temperature in London on August 7?
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
NEW
$11,074 Vol.
NEW
$11,074 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
11%
14°C
35%
15°C
42%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 42%
14°C 35%
16°C 12%
13°C 11%
NEW
$11,074 Vol.
NEW
$11,074 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
$237 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$282 Vol.
4%
13°C
$498 Vol.
11%
14°C
$3,925 Vol.
35%
15°C
$2,506 Vol.
42%
16°C
$1,170 Vol.
12%
17°C
$717 Vol.
1%
18°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights mostly settled high pressure over southern England, with clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into August 7 promoting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 14°C in central London. This aligns with the seasonal average low of 13°C and recent nightly readings of 13–14°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 14–15°C outcomes, while stronger winds or increased humidity could nudge the low marginally higher. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute Met Office briefing will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,074End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance highlights mostly settled high pressure over southern England, with clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into August 7 promoting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 14°C in central London. This aligns with the seasonal average low of 13°C and recent nightly readings of 13–14°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 14–15°C outcomes, while stronger winds or increased humidity could nudge the low marginally higher. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute Met Office briefing will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,074End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance highlights mostly settled high pressure over southern England, with clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight into August 7 promoting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 14°C in central London. This aligns with the seasonal average low of 13°C and recent nightly readings of 13–14°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 14–15°C outcomes, while stronger winds or increased humidity could nudge the low marginally higher. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute Met Office briefing will be the next key data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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