Recent Met Office guidance points to mild overnight conditions in London on August 8, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15°C and 17°C amid a warming Atlantic airflow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even market split between 15°C and 16°C reflects model uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the absence of strong high pressure or clear, calm nights that would enhance cooling. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble runs favor the higher range given persistent southerly flow and expected cloud cover moderating temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 8?
Lowest temperature in London on August 8?
15°C 42%
16°C 38%
14°C 18%
17°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
18%
15°C
42%
16°C
38%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 42%
16°C 38%
14°C 18%
17°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
10°C or below
$262 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$257 Vol.
1%
14°C
$578 Vol.
18%
15°C
$3,309 Vol.
42%
16°C
$1,145 Vol.
38%
17°C
$589 Vol.
1%
18°C
$418 Vol.
1%
19°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$255 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to mild overnight conditions in London on August 8, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15°C and 17°C amid a warming Atlantic airflow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even market split between 15°C and 16°C reflects model uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the absence of strong high pressure or clear, calm nights that would enhance cooling. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble runs favor the higher range given persistent southerly flow and expected cloud cover moderating temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,726End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to mild overnight conditions in London on August 8, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15°C and 17°C amid a warming Atlantic airflow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even market split between 15°C and 16°C reflects model uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the absence of strong high pressure or clear, calm nights that would enhance cooling. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble runs favor the higher range given persistent southerly flow and expected cloud cover moderating temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,726End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to mild overnight conditions in London on August 8, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 15°C and 17°C amid a warming Atlantic airflow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The near-even market split between 15°C and 16°C reflects model uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below align with the absence of strong high pressure or clear, calm nights that would enhance cooling. Historical August minima average near 13–14°C, yet current ensemble runs favor the higher range given persistent southerly flow and expected cloud cover moderating temperature drops. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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