Recent forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies show increasing cloud cover and light precipitation potential over Qingdao on August 9, moderating peak temperatures amid a regional heat pattern. Numerical models indicate highs likely clustering near 32–34°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 32% probability, while historical August averages hover around 29–30°C. Key variables include steering patterns of incoming moisture, model consensus on timing of any seabreeze effects or isolated storms, and verification of daily maximums against official station data. This distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution, with traders weighing ensemble spreads ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 9?
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
35°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
22%
35°C
13%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
35°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$45 Vol.
3%
31°C
$48 Vol.
12%
32°C
$33 Vol.
22%
33°C
$163 Vol.
32%
34°C
$39 Vol.
22%
35°C
$41 Vol.
13%
36°C
$40 Vol.
10%
37°C or higher
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies show increasing cloud cover and light precipitation potential over Qingdao on August 9, moderating peak temperatures amid a regional heat pattern. Numerical models indicate highs likely clustering near 32–34°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 32% probability, while historical August averages hover around 29–30°C. Key variables include steering patterns of incoming moisture, model consensus on timing of any seabreeze effects or isolated storms, and verification of daily maximums against official station data. This distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution, with traders weighing ensemble spreads ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$815End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies show increasing cloud cover and light precipitation potential over Qingdao on August 9, moderating peak temperatures amid a regional heat pattern. Numerical models indicate highs likely clustering near 32–34°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 32% probability, while historical August averages hover around 29–30°C. Key variables include steering patterns of incoming moisture, model consensus on timing of any seabreeze effects or isolated storms, and verification of daily maximums against official station data. This distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution, with traders weighing ensemble spreads ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$815End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from regional meteorological agencies show increasing cloud cover and light precipitation potential over Qingdao on August 9, moderating peak temperatures amid a regional heat pattern. Numerical models indicate highs likely clustering near 32–34°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 32% probability, while historical August averages hover around 29–30°C. Key variables include steering patterns of incoming moisture, model consensus on timing of any seabreeze effects or isolated storms, and verification of daily maximums against official station data. This distribution reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical for short-range temperature resolution, with traders weighing ensemble spreads ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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