Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 6 points to a high near 88–90°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 88–89°F and 90–91°F brackets. Persistent high humidity and a recent stretch of above-normal readings, including July 2026 as Miami’s second-hottest July on record, keep temperatures elevated relative to climatology, yet steering flow and convective development are expected to cap daytime maxima below the mid-90s. Ensemble model consensus favors limited insolation and sea-breeze effects that historically trim peaks by 2–4°F on similar August days, supporting the combined 72% implied probability for 88–91°F while leaving modest room for warmer outcomes if storms remain suppressed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 6?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
77°F or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$105 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$31 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$72 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$108 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$145 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$1,525 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$1,481 Vol.
28%
92-93°F
$123 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$82 Vol.
2%
96°F or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 6 points to a high near 88–90°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 88–89°F and 90–91°F brackets. Persistent high humidity and a recent stretch of above-normal readings, including July 2026 as Miami’s second-hottest July on record, keep temperatures elevated relative to climatology, yet steering flow and convective development are expected to cap daytime maxima below the mid-90s. Ensemble model consensus favors limited insolation and sea-breeze effects that historically trim peaks by 2–4°F on similar August days, supporting the combined 72% implied probability for 88–91°F while leaving modest room for warmer outcomes if storms remain suppressed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,779End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 6 points to a high near 88–90°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 88–89°F and 90–91°F brackets. Persistent high humidity and a recent stretch of above-normal readings, including July 2026 as Miami’s second-hottest July on record, keep temperatures elevated relative to climatology, yet steering flow and convective development are expected to cap daytime maxima below the mid-90s. Ensemble model consensus favors limited insolation and sea-breeze effects that historically trim peaks by 2–4°F on similar August days, supporting the combined 72% implied probability for 88–91°F while leaving modest room for warmer outcomes if storms remain suppressed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,779End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 6 points to a high near 88–90°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 88–89°F and 90–91°F brackets. Persistent high humidity and a recent stretch of above-normal readings, including July 2026 as Miami’s second-hottest July on record, keep temperatures elevated relative to climatology, yet steering flow and convective development are expected to cap daytime maxima below the mid-90s. Ensemble model consensus favors limited insolation and sea-breeze effects that historically trim peaks by 2–4°F on similar August days, supporting the combined 72% implied probability for 88–91°F while leaving modest room for warmer outcomes if storms remain suppressed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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