Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
34°C 40%
33°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 9.3%
NEW
$47,976 Vol.
NEW
$47,976 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
40%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
33°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 9.3%
NEW
$47,976 Vol.
NEW
$47,976 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,063 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,341 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,041 Vol.
3%
32°C
$2,020 Vol.
12%
33°C
$9,155 Vol.
27%
34°C
$4,406 Vol.
40%
35°C
$9,726 Vol.
9%
36°C
$5,370 Vol.
3%
37°C
$1,981 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$3,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$47,976End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,976End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 6, supported by typical August climatology of 32–33°C highs under southerly monsoon flow and high humidity. Trader consensus tilts toward 34°C (39% implied probability) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting minor model spread on peak timing, urban heat island amplification, and slight warming potential ahead of any frontal passage. Recent observations from August 3–5, with peaks of 31–33°C, reinforce this range without signals of extreme deviation. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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