Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, including Busan, position 35–37°C as the market’s leading outcomes for the August 7 daily high. Recent KMA observations and model runs show persistent high pressure and warm advection maintaining temperatures well above seasonal averages of 29–31°C, with August 1’s verified 39°C reading underscoring the current anomaly. Coastal sea breezes and humidity near 70–80% moderate extremes yet support peaks in the mid-30s according to short-range guidance. Traders are weighting the risk of slight model cooling or increased cloud cover ahead of any potential typhoon influences, while the narrow probability spread around 36°C reflects consensus on continued elevated readings through the early-August window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 7?
36°C 37%
35°C 26%
37°C 24%
34°C 10%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
26%
36°C
37%
37°C
24%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 26%
37°C 24%
34°C 10%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
26%
36°C
37%
37°C
24%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, including Busan, position 35–37°C as the market’s leading outcomes for the August 7 daily high. Recent KMA observations and model runs show persistent high pressure and warm advection maintaining temperatures well above seasonal averages of 29–31°C, with August 1’s verified 39°C reading underscoring the current anomaly. Coastal sea breezes and humidity near 70–80% moderate extremes yet support peaks in the mid-30s according to short-range guidance. Traders are weighting the risk of slight model cooling or increased cloud cover ahead of any potential typhoon influences, while the narrow probability spread around 36°C reflects consensus on continued elevated readings through the early-August window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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