Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including active heatwave warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration for Seoul and Incheon, position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable peak on August 7. Recent record highs exceeding 42°C in southeastern regions on August 2 underscore persistent high-pressure dominance and elevated baseline temperatures, though steering patterns and localized sea breezes near Incheon typically moderate extremes relative to inland areas. Short-range forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate daytime maxima around 35–37°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation expected, aligning with the market’s concentration of probability on 34–37°C outcomes. Model consensus remains subject to minor revisions from updated runs or diurnal variability, but current observations support limited upside beyond 37°C for this specific location and date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
35°C 38%
36°C 27%
34°C 16%
37°C 10.7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
38%
36°C
27%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 38%
36°C 27%
34°C 16%
37°C 10.7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
38%
36°C
27%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including active heatwave warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration for Seoul and Incheon, position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable peak on August 7. Recent record highs exceeding 42°C in southeastern regions on August 2 underscore persistent high-pressure dominance and elevated baseline temperatures, though steering patterns and localized sea breezes near Incheon typically moderate extremes relative to inland areas. Short-range forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 indicate daytime maxima around 35–37°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation expected, aligning with the market’s concentration of probability on 34–37°C outcomes. Model consensus remains subject to minor revisions from updated runs or diurnal variability, but current observations support limited upside beyond 37°C for this specific location and date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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