Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system continue to dominate the Korean Peninsula, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining heatwave warnings across Seoul and Incheon into August 6. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models point to mostly clear skies, light winds, and peak solar insolation supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 34–36°C at the Incheon station. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle forecast variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact dewpoint suppression, and any late-day convective development that could shave or boost the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages 29–31°C, underscoring the anomalous persistence of this event. Updated KMA and global model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
35°C 35%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
37°C or higher 11.3%
$16,698 Vol.
$16,698 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
29%
35°C
35%
36°C
22%
37°C or higher
11%
35°C 35%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
37°C or higher 11.3%
$16,698 Vol.
$16,698 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
29%
35°C
35%
36°C
22%
37°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system continue to dominate the Korean Peninsula, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining heatwave warnings across Seoul and Incheon into August 6. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models point to mostly clear skies, light winds, and peak solar insolation supporting afternoon maxima clustered around 34–36°C at the Incheon station. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle forecast variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact dewpoint suppression, and any late-day convective development that could shave or boost the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages 29–31°C, underscoring the anomalous persistence of this event. Updated KMA and global model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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