Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 7?
34°C 38%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
38%
35°C
24%
36°C
9%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
28°C or below
$662 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$487 Vol.
2%
32°C
$333 Vol.
4%
33°C
$522 Vol.
21%
34°C
$1,988 Vol.
38%
35°C
$1,067 Vol.
24%
36°C
$874 Vol.
9%
37°C
$387 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$389 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,363End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,363End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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