Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily high near 32–34°C for Chongqing on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (36.5%), 32°C (26.5%), and 34°C (24%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, including persistent humidity above 60% and isolated thunderstorms, moderate peak temperatures while the urban heat island effect sustains values near the long-term August average of 32–34°C. No major heatwave or anomalous high-pressure setup appears in current guidance, keeping extreme outliers like 35°C+ or sub-30°C at low implied probabilities under 4%. Updated forecast runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours will likely drive the next adjustments in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 5?
33°C 34%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
34%
34°C
29%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
31°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
$277 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$445 Vol.
2%
29°C
$261 Vol.
2%
30°C
$280 Vol.
3%
31°C
$280 Vol.
7%
32°C
$323 Vol.
25%
33°C
$1,198 Vol.
34%
34°C
$1,810 Vol.
29%
35°C
$262 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$257 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily high near 32–34°C for Chongqing on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (36.5%), 32°C (26.5%), and 34°C (24%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, including persistent humidity above 60% and isolated thunderstorms, moderate peak temperatures while the urban heat island effect sustains values near the long-term August average of 32–34°C. No major heatwave or anomalous high-pressure setup appears in current guidance, keeping extreme outliers like 35°C+ or sub-30°C at low implied probabilities under 4%. Updated forecast runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours will likely drive the next adjustments in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$5,646End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily high near 32–34°C for Chongqing on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (36.5%), 32°C (26.5%), and 34°C (24%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, including persistent humidity above 60% and isolated thunderstorms, moderate peak temperatures while the urban heat island effect sustains values near the long-term August average of 32–34°C. No major heatwave or anomalous high-pressure setup appears in current guidance, keeping extreme outliers like 35°C+ or sub-30°C at low implied probabilities under 4%. Updated forecast runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours will likely drive the next adjustments in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,646End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a daily high near 32–34°C for Chongqing on August 5, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (36.5%), 32°C (26.5%), and 34°C (24%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, including persistent humidity above 60% and isolated thunderstorms, moderate peak temperatures while the urban heat island effect sustains values near the long-term August average of 32–34°C. No major heatwave or anomalous high-pressure setup appears in current guidance, keeping extreme outliers like 35°C+ or sub-30°C at low implied probabilities under 4%. Updated forecast runs and any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours will likely drive the next adjustments in trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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