Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by nearby tropical systems like TC Dolphin, is driving increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across western Luzon including Manila, which suppresses peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 29°C high for August 7 amid these conditions, below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours reinforce trader positioning around 28–30°C outcomes, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could further moderate or briefly elevate maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 7?
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 19%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
29%
29°C
44%
30°C
19%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 19%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$32 Vol.
1%
26°C
$49 Vol.
3%
27°C
$9 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$17 Vol.
44%
30°C
$12 Vol.
19%
31°C
$3 Vol.
9%
32°C
$30 Vol.
3%
33°C
$17 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by nearby tropical systems like TC Dolphin, is driving increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across western Luzon including Manila, which suppresses peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 29°C high for August 7 amid these conditions, below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours reinforce trader positioning around 28–30°C outcomes, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could further moderate or briefly elevate maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$243End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by nearby tropical systems like TC Dolphin, is driving increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across western Luzon including Manila, which suppresses peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 29°C high for August 7 amid these conditions, below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours reinforce trader positioning around 28–30°C outcomes, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could further moderate or briefly elevate maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$243End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon activity, reinforced by nearby tropical systems like TC Dolphin, is driving increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across western Luzon including Manila, which suppresses peak daytime heating. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 29°C high for August 7 amid these conditions, below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours reinforce trader positioning around 28–30°C outcomes, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing and intensity that could further moderate or briefly elevate maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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