Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing on August 7 points to peak daytime temperatures of 33–36 °C under typical early-August conditions, with afternoon thunderstorm activity introducing the main uncertainty in maximum readings. Southerly flow and high humidity support heat buildup, while timing and coverage of convective rain—often tied to the East Asian monsoon—can cap highs by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and wind shifts, consistent with historical variability where early-month peaks frequently exceed the 30–32 °C August average. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine resolution, with traders weighing the narrow window for intensification versus suppression before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
14%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
22%
38°C
11%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
$13 Vol.
1%
32°C
$387 Vol.
3%
33°C
$26 Vol.
4%
34°C
$141 Vol.
14%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$33 Vol.
26%
37°C
$73 Vol.
22%
38°C
$82 Vol.
11%
39°C
$30 Vol.
5%
40°C
$10 Vol.
2%
41°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing on August 7 points to peak daytime temperatures of 33–36 °C under typical early-August conditions, with afternoon thunderstorm activity introducing the main uncertainty in maximum readings. Southerly flow and high humidity support heat buildup, while timing and coverage of convective rain—often tied to the East Asian monsoon—can cap highs by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and wind shifts, consistent with historical variability where early-month peaks frequently exceed the 30–32 °C August average. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine resolution, with traders weighing the narrow window for intensification versus suppression before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$805End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing on August 7 points to peak daytime temperatures of 33–36 °C under typical early-August conditions, with afternoon thunderstorm activity introducing the main uncertainty in maximum readings. Southerly flow and high humidity support heat buildup, while timing and coverage of convective rain—often tied to the East Asian monsoon—can cap highs by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and wind shifts, consistent with historical variability where early-month peaks frequently exceed the 30–32 °C August average. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine resolution, with traders weighing the narrow window for intensification versus suppression before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$805End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus for Beijing on August 7 points to peak daytime temperatures of 33–36 °C under typical early-August conditions, with afternoon thunderstorm activity introducing the main uncertainty in maximum readings. Southerly flow and high humidity support heat buildup, while timing and coverage of convective rain—often tied to the East Asian monsoon—can cap highs by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads from global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and wind shifts, consistent with historical variability where early-month peaks frequently exceed the 30–32 °C August average. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will determine resolution, with traders weighing the narrow window for intensification versus suppression before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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