Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate highs near 90°F on August 5 amid typical late-summer conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with trader consensus favoring the 88-91°F range at over 70% combined implied probability. High humidity and light steering winds support heat indices above 105°F, while convection timing introduces modest uncertainty that could cap readings in the upper 80s or allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This setup tracks August climatology of 87-89°F averages and follows an unusually warm July, with no strong El Niño-driven suppression or tropical influences altering the pattern yet. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 5?
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 26%
86-87°F 23%
84-85°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 26%
86-87°F 23%
84-85°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
77°F or below
$98 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$94 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$136 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$120 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$169 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$328 Vol.
23%
88-89°F
$125 Vol.
46%
90-91°F
$427 Vol.
26%
92-93°F
$702 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$95 Vol.
1%
96°F or higher
$109 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate highs near 90°F on August 5 amid typical late-summer conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with trader consensus favoring the 88-91°F range at over 70% combined implied probability. High humidity and light steering winds support heat indices above 105°F, while convection timing introduces modest uncertainty that could cap readings in the upper 80s or allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This setup tracks August climatology of 87-89°F averages and follows an unusually warm July, with no strong El Niño-driven suppression or tropical influences altering the pattern yet. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,404End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate highs near 90°F on August 5 amid typical late-summer conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with trader consensus favoring the 88-91°F range at over 70% combined implied probability. High humidity and light steering winds support heat indices above 105°F, while convection timing introduces modest uncertainty that could cap readings in the upper 80s or allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This setup tracks August climatology of 87-89°F averages and follows an unusually warm July, with no strong El Niño-driven suppression or tropical influences altering the pattern yet. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,404End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate highs near 90°F on August 5 amid typical late-summer conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with trader consensus favoring the 88-91°F range at over 70% combined implied probability. High humidity and light steering winds support heat indices above 105°F, while convection timing introduces modest uncertainty that could cap readings in the upper 80s or allow brief pushes into the low 90s. This setup tracks August climatology of 87-89°F averages and follows an unusually warm July, with no strong El Niño-driven suppression or tropical influences altering the pattern yet. Updated model runs and official observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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