Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 6?
16°C 49%
15°C 28%
14°C 12%
17°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
12%
15°C
28%
16°C
49%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 49%
15°C 28%
14°C 12%
17°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
11°C or below
$545 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$847 Vol.
1%
13°C
$665 Vol.
4%
14°C
$1,086 Vol.
12%
15°C
$684 Vol.
28%
16°C
$2,262 Vol.
49%
17°C
$1,031 Vol.
8%
18°C
$642 Vol.
2%
19°C
$461 Vol.
1%
20°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$787 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,432End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,432End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s August 6 maximum, reflecting model guidance for a cooler-than-average winter day amid an approaching cold front and associated onshore flow. Historical August highs average near 17°C, yet recent South African Weather Service patterns show persistent cooler air masses over the Western Cape, with isolated showers and strengthened winds suppressing daytime warming. Short-range ensemble forecasts emphasize modest variability around 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward these bins and lighter probabilities for 17°C or higher. Resolution will hinge on official observations from Cape Town stations, with any late-model shifts in frontal timing or cloud cover remaining the key variables ahead of the August 6 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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