Recent forecasts from European models, including high-resolution runs from the Dutch KNMI and ECMWF, indicate peak temperatures of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup follows a brief heatwave earlier in the week that pushed readings above 30°C, but subsidence and moderating Atlantic influences have cooled conditions. Amsterdam’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation, keeping maxima near the long-term early-August average of 21–22°C. Trader consensus centers on these outcomes because short-range guidance shows low spread across ensembles, with only minor risks of warmer advection or cooler marine air pushing the daily high outside the 20–22°C window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 6?
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
NEW
$19,101 Vol.
NEW
$19,101 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
42%
22°C
31%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
NEW
$19,101 Vol.
NEW
$19,101 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
17°C or below
$859 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,538 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,773 Vol.
4%
20°C
$3,804 Vol.
22%
21°C
$2,103 Vol.
42%
22°C
$3,471 Vol.
31%
23°C
$1,520 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,252 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including high-resolution runs from the Dutch KNMI and ECMWF, indicate peak temperatures of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup follows a brief heatwave earlier in the week that pushed readings above 30°C, but subsidence and moderating Atlantic influences have cooled conditions. Amsterdam’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation, keeping maxima near the long-term early-August average of 21–22°C. Trader consensus centers on these outcomes because short-range guidance shows low spread across ensembles, with only minor risks of warmer advection or cooler marine air pushing the daily high outside the 20–22°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$19,101End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including high-resolution runs from the Dutch KNMI and ECMWF, indicate peak temperatures of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup follows a brief heatwave earlier in the week that pushed readings above 30°C, but subsidence and moderating Atlantic influences have cooled conditions. Amsterdam’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation, keeping maxima near the long-term early-August average of 21–22°C. Trader consensus centers on these outcomes because short-range guidance shows low spread across ensembles, with only minor risks of warmer advection or cooler marine air pushing the daily high outside the 20–22°C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,101End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models, including high-resolution runs from the Dutch KNMI and ECMWF, indicate peak temperatures of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 6 under a stable high-pressure regime with light northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. This setup follows a brief heatwave earlier in the week that pushed readings above 30°C, but subsidence and moderating Atlantic influences have cooled conditions. Amsterdam’s coastal location adds sea-breeze moderation, keeping maxima near the long-term early-August average of 21–22°C. Trader consensus centers on these outcomes because short-range guidance shows low spread across ensembles, with only minor risks of warmer advection or cooler marine air pushing the daily high outside the 20–22°C window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions