Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–25°C for August 6 under a stable, humid summer airmass, with daytime highs around 32–35°C. This positioning reflects persistent high pressure and elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings aligned with seasonal norms of 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C stems from uncertainties in urban heat island effects and minor variations in cloud cover or wind, which can shift the exact low by 1°C. No frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
25°C 55%
26°C 44%
24°C 3%
27°C 2.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
55%
26°C
44%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
26°C 44%
24°C 3%
27°C 2.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$550 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$194 Vol.
1%
24°C
$212 Vol.
3%
25°C
$761 Vol.
55%
26°C
$552 Vol.
44%
27°C
$276 Vol.
2%
28°C
$445 Vol.
1%
29°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$307 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–25°C for August 6 under a stable, humid summer airmass, with daytime highs around 32–35°C. This positioning reflects persistent high pressure and elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings aligned with seasonal norms of 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C stems from uncertainties in urban heat island effects and minor variations in cloud cover or wind, which can shift the exact low by 1°C. No frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,103End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–25°C for August 6 under a stable, humid summer airmass, with daytime highs around 32–35°C. This positioning reflects persistent high pressure and elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings aligned with seasonal norms of 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C stems from uncertainties in urban heat island effects and minor variations in cloud cover or wind, which can shift the exact low by 1°C. No frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,103End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a Tokyo minimum near 24–25°C for August 6 under a stable, humid summer airmass, with daytime highs around 32–35°C. This positioning reflects persistent high pressure and elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight readings aligned with seasonal norms of 24°C. The tight market split between 25°C and 26°C stems from uncertainties in urban heat island effects and minor variations in cloud cover or wind, which can shift the exact low by 1°C. No frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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