Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
32°C 39%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
15%
32°C
39%
33°C
31%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
$243 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$380 Vol.
2%
30°C
$279 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,006 Vol.
15%
32°C
$816 Vol.
39%
33°C
$716 Vol.
31%
34°C
$973 Vol.
9%
35°C
$239 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$759 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,149End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,149End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy August 6 with a projected high of 32°C in Tokyo, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C outcomes. A strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence and southerly flow has sustained above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may cap afternoon peaks by limiting insolation. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with ENSO-neutral conditions and gradual seasonal cooling, support this narrow range while allowing modest upside if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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