Marine layer strengthening and persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles, positioning 78–79 °F as the market’s leading outcome at 46.5 % implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown after extreme warnings through August 2, with daytime highs likely held to the upper 70s or low 80s at official stations such as LAX. Historical August climatology near 84–86 °F provides context, yet the current pattern of cooler near-shore ocean temperatures and marine stratus favors the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast update and any shift in the 500-mb ridge that could allow brief warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
$78 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$414 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$49 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$247 Vol.
30%
78-79°F
$698 Vol.
44%
80-81°F
$205 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$290 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$44 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$175 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$132 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening and persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles, positioning 78–79 °F as the market’s leading outcome at 46.5 % implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown after extreme warnings through August 2, with daytime highs likely held to the upper 70s or low 80s at official stations such as LAX. Historical August climatology near 84–86 °F provides context, yet the current pattern of cooler near-shore ocean temperatures and marine stratus favors the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast update and any shift in the 500-mb ridge that could allow brief warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$2,467End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening and persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles, positioning 78–79 °F as the market’s leading outcome at 46.5 % implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown after extreme warnings through August 2, with daytime highs likely held to the upper 70s or low 80s at official stations such as LAX. Historical August climatology near 84–86 °F provides context, yet the current pattern of cooler near-shore ocean temperatures and marine stratus favors the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast update and any shift in the 500-mb ridge that could allow brief warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,467End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer strengthening and persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles, positioning 78–79 °F as the market’s leading outcome at 46.5 % implied probability. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs indicate a post-heat-wave cooldown after extreme warnings through August 2, with daytime highs likely held to the upper 70s or low 80s at official stations such as LAX. Historical August climatology near 84–86 °F provides context, yet the current pattern of cooler near-shore ocean temperatures and marine stratus favors the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast update and any shift in the 500-mb ridge that could allow brief warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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