Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate temperatures at coastal stations like KLAX, anchoring trader consensus around 80–81°F for August 2 despite a regional heat wave driven by a strong upper-level high-pressure ridge. Official NWS guidance and model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light west-southwest winds, limiting inland heat advection to the coast and keeping highs near early-August climatological norms of 80–84°F. Recent observations of 78–81°F and the absence of offshore wind shifts or marine-layer erosion have reinforced the 45.5% implied probability for 80–81°F and 28% for 78–79°F. Heat advisories remain in effect through August 2 evening, but coastal impacts stay limited; any late clearing or ridge strengthening could push readings toward 82–83°F, though model consensus currently favors stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 2?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 17%
77°F or below 7%
$14,080 Vol.
$14,080 Vol.
77°F or below
7%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 17%
77°F or below 7%
$14,080 Vol.
$14,080 Vol.
77°F or below
7%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate temperatures at coastal stations like KLAX, anchoring trader consensus around 80–81°F for August 2 despite a regional heat wave driven by a strong upper-level high-pressure ridge. Official NWS guidance and model runs indicate mostly sunny conditions with light west-southwest winds, limiting inland heat advection to the coast and keeping highs near early-August climatological norms of 80–84°F. Recent observations of 78–81°F and the absence of offshore wind shifts or marine-layer erosion have reinforced the 45.5% implied probability for 80–81°F and 28% for 78–79°F. Heat advisories remain in effect through August 2 evening, but coastal impacts stay limited; any late clearing or ridge strengthening could push readings toward 82–83°F, though model consensus currently favors stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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