Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses over southern England by August 6, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C in London amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This follows several days above seasonal norms, with surface observations confirming a drop from 27–30°C peaks earlier in the week. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 22–24°C outcomes include forecast cloud cover reducing insolation, potential for scattered showers, and subtle steering influences on the high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus aligns with these official guidance trends while acknowledging typical ensemble spread in short-range temperature predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 6?
Highest temperature in London on August 6?
22°C 31%
23°C 29%
24°C 23%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
31%
23°C
29%
24°C
23%
25°C
11%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 31%
23°C 29%
24°C 23%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
$52 Vol.
1%
20°C
$21 Vol.
2%
21°C
$412 Vol.
9%
22°C
$203 Vol.
31%
23°C
$221 Vol.
29%
24°C
$80 Vol.
23%
25°C
$271 Vol.
11%
26°C
$38 Vol.
3%
27°C
$17 Vol.
1%
28°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$504 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses over southern England by August 6, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C in London amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This follows several days above seasonal norms, with surface observations confirming a drop from 27–30°C peaks earlier in the week. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 22–24°C outcomes include forecast cloud cover reducing insolation, potential for scattered showers, and subtle steering influences on the high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus aligns with these official guidance trends while acknowledging typical ensemble spread in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,839End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses over southern England by August 6, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C in London amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This follows several days above seasonal norms, with surface observations confirming a drop from 27–30°C peaks earlier in the week. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 22–24°C outcomes include forecast cloud cover reducing insolation, potential for scattered showers, and subtle steering influences on the high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus aligns with these official guidance trends while acknowledging typical ensemble spread in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,839End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air masses over southern England by August 6, supporting maximum temperatures near 22–23°C in London amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. This follows several days above seasonal norms, with surface observations confirming a drop from 27–30°C peaks earlier in the week. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 22–24°C outcomes include forecast cloud cover reducing insolation, potential for scattered showers, and subtle steering influences on the high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus aligns with these official guidance trends while acknowledging typical ensemble spread in short-range temperature predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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