Recent Météo-France forecasts and model consensus point to a cooldown on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an afternoon maximum near 26°C after warmer days earlier in the week. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with observed steering patterns and reduced thermal advection from the north. Historical August climatology in Paris centers on 24–25°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. Updated runs through early August show limited model spread on peak timing, supporting the tight clustering around these values ahead of final observational data from Paris stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
24°C 21%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
45%
26°C
27%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 27%
24°C 21%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$56 Vol.
3%
23°C
$170 Vol.
6%
24°C
$112 Vol.
21%
25°C
$297 Vol.
45%
26°C
$74 Vol.
27%
27°C
$89 Vol.
5%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$36 Vol.
1%
30°C
$18 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$527 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and model consensus point to a cooldown on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an afternoon maximum near 26°C after warmer days earlier in the week. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with observed steering patterns and reduced thermal advection from the north. Historical August climatology in Paris centers on 24–25°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. Updated runs through early August show limited model spread on peak timing, supporting the tight clustering around these values ahead of final observational data from Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,434End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and model consensus point to a cooldown on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an afternoon maximum near 26°C after warmer days earlier in the week. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with observed steering patterns and reduced thermal advection from the north. Historical August climatology in Paris centers on 24–25°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. Updated runs through early August show limited model spread on peak timing, supporting the tight clustering around these values ahead of final observational data from Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,434End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts and model consensus point to a cooldown on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an afternoon maximum near 26°C after warmer days earlier in the week. This positions 25–26°C as the leading market outcomes by aligning with observed steering patterns and reduced thermal advection from the north. Historical August climatology in Paris centers on 24–25°C highs, providing a baseline that current guidance slightly exceeds while remaining below heat-wave thresholds. Updated runs through early August show limited model spread on peak timing, supporting the tight clustering around these values ahead of final observational data from Paris stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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