Recent forecasts from multiple models position Moscow's August 9 high near 22–24 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with climatological normals of 22–24 °C for early August and follows a cooling trend after earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus concentrates on 22–23 °C (70 % combined implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal risk of either pronounced warming or significant cooling from frontal passages. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at Moscow-area stations; any last-minute model shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the final value within the narrow 21–24 °C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
40%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
19°C or below
$12 Vol.
4%
20°C
$10 Vol.
5%
21°C
$12 Vol.
16%
22°C
$181 Vol.
30%
23°C
$15 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$12 Vol.
2%
27°C
$12 Vol.
2%
28°C
$12 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models position Moscow's August 9 high near 22–24 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with climatological normals of 22–24 °C for early August and follows a cooling trend after earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus concentrates on 22–23 °C (70 % combined implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal risk of either pronounced warming or significant cooling from frontal passages. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at Moscow-area stations; any last-minute model shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the final value within the narrow 21–24 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$279End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models position Moscow's August 9 high near 22–24 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with climatological normals of 22–24 °C for early August and follows a cooling trend after earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus concentrates on 22–23 °C (70 % combined implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal risk of either pronounced warming or significant cooling from frontal passages. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at Moscow-area stations; any last-minute model shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the final value within the narrow 21–24 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$279End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models position Moscow's August 9 high near 22–24 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with climatological normals of 22–24 °C for early August and follows a cooling trend after earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus concentrates on 22–23 °C (70 % combined implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal risk of either pronounced warming or significant cooling from frontal passages. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at Moscow-area stations; any last-minute model shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the final value within the narrow 21–24 °C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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