Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Incheon on August 9 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions, with light easterly winds and high pressure suppressing stronger radiative cooling. This aligns closely with August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 23–27°C under humid subtropical patterns, and recent observations show minimal day-to-day variability without approaching frontal systems or significant cloud cover that could alter temperatures. The market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 47%, reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions as resolution approaches, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected model shifts in the final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
25°C 47%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
24%
25°C
47%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 47%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
18°C or below
$486 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$36 Vol.
1%
21°C
$31 Vol.
1%
22°C
$227 Vol.
1%
23°C
$326 Vol.
4%
24°C
$382 Vol.
24%
25°C
$113 Vol.
47%
26°C
$475 Vol.
21%
27°C
$284 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$327 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Incheon on August 9 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions, with light easterly winds and high pressure suppressing stronger radiative cooling. This aligns closely with August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 23–27°C under humid subtropical patterns, and recent observations show minimal day-to-day variability without approaching frontal systems or significant cloud cover that could alter temperatures. The market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 47%, reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions as resolution approaches, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected model shifts in the final updates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,172End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Incheon on August 9 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions, with light easterly winds and high pressure suppressing stronger radiative cooling. This aligns closely with August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 23–27°C under humid subtropical patterns, and recent observations show minimal day-to-day variability without approaching frontal systems or significant cloud cover that could alter temperatures. The market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 47%, reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions as resolution approaches, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected model shifts in the final updates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,172End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate an overnight low near 25°C for Incheon on August 9 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions, with light easterly winds and high pressure suppressing stronger radiative cooling. This aligns closely with August climatology for the region, where typical lows range 23–27°C under humid subtropical patterns, and recent observations show minimal day-to-day variability without approaching frontal systems or significant cloud cover that could alter temperatures. The market-implied odds, led by 25°C at 47%, reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions as resolution approaches, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected model shifts in the final updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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