Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
26%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$3 Vol.
16%
31°C
$27 Vol.
26%
32°C
$9 Vol.
33%
33°C
$14 Vol.
17%
34°C
$15 Vol.
12%
35°C
$5 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$21 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$124End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$124End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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