Current short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models position daytime highs in Taipei near 35–36°C for August 6, driven by the island's subtropical monsoon climate with persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds under mostly sunny conditions. Typical August baselines average around 32°C, but recent days have seen peaks reaching 34–36°C amid stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperature outcomes, with any afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers unlikely to suppress readings below 34°C or push them above 37°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies on August 5–6 will further refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 6?
35°C 46%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 7%
NEW
$18,855 Vol.
NEW
$18,855 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
46%
36°C
32%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 46%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 7%
NEW
$18,855 Vol.
NEW
$18,855 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,102 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,356 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,093 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,537 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,827 Vol.
13%
35°C
$4,102 Vol.
46%
36°C
$3,690 Vol.
32%
37°C
$1,057 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$1,288 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models position daytime highs in Taipei near 35–36°C for August 6, driven by the island's subtropical monsoon climate with persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds under mostly sunny conditions. Typical August baselines average around 32°C, but recent days have seen peaks reaching 34–36°C amid stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperature outcomes, with any afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers unlikely to suppress readings below 34°C or push them above 37°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies on August 5–6 will further refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$18,855End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models position daytime highs in Taipei near 35–36°C for August 6, driven by the island's subtropical monsoon climate with persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds under mostly sunny conditions. Typical August baselines average around 32°C, but recent days have seen peaks reaching 34–36°C amid stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperature outcomes, with any afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers unlikely to suppress readings below 34°C or push them above 37°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies on August 5–6 will further refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,855End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models position daytime highs in Taipei near 35–36°C for August 6, driven by the island's subtropical monsoon climate with persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds under mostly sunny conditions. Typical August baselines average around 32°C, but recent days have seen peaks reaching 34–36°C amid stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Model consensus shows limited variability in maximum temperature outcomes, with any afternoon sea-breeze effects or isolated showers unlikely to suppress readings below 34°C or push them above 37°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies on August 5–6 will further refine these probabilities as the day approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions