Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 8 align closely with long-term August climatology, positioning 17°C as the modal outcome amid typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Official guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and international models indicates fine to partly cloudy skies with daytime maxima near 16–18°C and light northwesterly winds, following the passage of earlier cold fronts that have kept conditions mild rather than extreme. This consensus, reinforced by historical baselines showing average highs of 17°C and low variability this time of year, underpins the market's concentration around those values while allowing modest probability for slight deviations from model spread or localized effects. Updated model runs and any new observational data ahead of resolution will be key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 8?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 8?
17°C 45%
18°C 30%
16°C 16%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
16%
17°C
45%
18°C
30%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 45%
18°C 30%
16°C 16%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
$51 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$10 Vol.
2%
14°C
$239 Vol.
3%
15°C
$154 Vol.
6%
16°C
$341 Vol.
16%
17°C
$340 Vol.
45%
18°C
$171 Vol.
30%
19°C
$518 Vol.
7%
20°C
$131 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$165 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 8 align closely with long-term August climatology, positioning 17°C as the modal outcome amid typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Official guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and international models indicates fine to partly cloudy skies with daytime maxima near 16–18°C and light northwesterly winds, following the passage of earlier cold fronts that have kept conditions mild rather than extreme. This consensus, reinforced by historical baselines showing average highs of 17°C and low variability this time of year, underpins the market's concentration around those values while allowing modest probability for slight deviations from model spread or localized effects. Updated model runs and any new observational data ahead of resolution will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,196End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 8 align closely with long-term August climatology, positioning 17°C as the modal outcome amid typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Official guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and international models indicates fine to partly cloudy skies with daytime maxima near 16–18°C and light northwesterly winds, following the passage of earlier cold fronts that have kept conditions mild rather than extreme. This consensus, reinforced by historical baselines showing average highs of 17°C and low variability this time of year, underpins the market's concentration around those values while allowing modest probability for slight deviations from model spread or localized effects. Updated model runs and any new observational data ahead of resolution will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,196End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town on August 8 align closely with long-term August climatology, positioning 17°C as the modal outcome amid typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Official guidance from sources like the South African Weather Service and international models indicates fine to partly cloudy skies with daytime maxima near 16–18°C and light northwesterly winds, following the passage of earlier cold fronts that have kept conditions mild rather than extreme. This consensus, reinforced by historical baselines showing average highs of 17°C and low variability this time of year, underpins the market's concentration around those values while allowing modest probability for slight deviations from model spread or localized effects. Updated model runs and any new observational data ahead of resolution will be key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions