Trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 8 high reflects the persistent marine layer and strong onshore westerly flow that typically caps coastal maxima near seasonal averages of 69-70°F. Recent NWS guidance shows a modest warming trend inland, yet the sea breeze and low stratus are expected to limit SF warming, with model runs converging on afternoon highs of 70-74°F depending on the exact depth of the marine inversion and timing of any fog clearance. Stronger onshore gradients favor the 70-71°F or 72-73°F bins, while a weaker layer or earlier clearing could push readings into the 74-75°F range; historical analogs indicate such narrow spreads are common when high pressure builds modestly without fully eroding the coastal cooling mechanism. Updated forecast discussions and morning soundings will be key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?
72-73°F 40%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 40%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
67°F or below
$418 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$482 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$972 Vol.
33%
72-73°F
$1,091 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$922 Vol.
13%
76-77°F
$613 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$128 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$225 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$278 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$371 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 8 high reflects the persistent marine layer and strong onshore westerly flow that typically caps coastal maxima near seasonal averages of 69-70°F. Recent NWS guidance shows a modest warming trend inland, yet the sea breeze and low stratus are expected to limit SF warming, with model runs converging on afternoon highs of 70-74°F depending on the exact depth of the marine inversion and timing of any fog clearance. Stronger onshore gradients favor the 70-71°F or 72-73°F bins, while a weaker layer or earlier clearing could push readings into the 74-75°F range; historical analogs indicate such narrow spreads are common when high pressure builds modestly without fully eroding the coastal cooling mechanism. Updated forecast discussions and morning soundings will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,848End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 8 high reflects the persistent marine layer and strong onshore westerly flow that typically caps coastal maxima near seasonal averages of 69-70°F. Recent NWS guidance shows a modest warming trend inland, yet the sea breeze and low stratus are expected to limit SF warming, with model runs converging on afternoon highs of 70-74°F depending on the exact depth of the marine inversion and timing of any fog clearance. Stronger onshore gradients favor the 70-71°F or 72-73°F bins, while a weaker layer or earlier clearing could push readings into the 74-75°F range; historical analogs indicate such narrow spreads are common when high pressure builds modestly without fully eroding the coastal cooling mechanism. Updated forecast discussions and morning soundings will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,848End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 70-73°F for San Francisco’s August 8 high reflects the persistent marine layer and strong onshore westerly flow that typically caps coastal maxima near seasonal averages of 69-70°F. Recent NWS guidance shows a modest warming trend inland, yet the sea breeze and low stratus are expected to limit SF warming, with model runs converging on afternoon highs of 70-74°F depending on the exact depth of the marine inversion and timing of any fog clearance. Stronger onshore gradients favor the 70-71°F or 72-73°F bins, while a weaker layer or earlier clearing could push readings into the 74-75°F range; historical analogs indicate such narrow spreads are common when high pressure builds modestly without fully eroding the coastal cooling mechanism. Updated forecast discussions and morning soundings will be key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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