**Marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping coastal Los Angeles temperatures in the upper 70s on August 8, 2026, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 69.5%.** National Weather Service forecasts for stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) consistently project a daily maximum near 77–79°F under persistent low clouds and fog that limit daytime heating. This marine moderation is typical for the LA basin in early August, when sea-surface temperatures and prevailing westerly winds suppress inland-style warming. Inland or downtown locations may briefly reach the low 80s, but the official high—often resolved against coastal airport data—remains anchored in the 78-79°F range. Recent model runs show no significant offshore wind event or ridge strengthening that would push temperatures higher, which is why 76-77°F and 80-81°F each hold only 12.5% implied probability. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and afternoon observations, as any late-day clearing could nudge the final reading within the leading bin or slightly above it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 8?
78-79°F 70%
76-77°F 14%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 3%
NEW
$30,625 Vol.
NEW
$30,625 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
70%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 70%
76-77°F 14%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 3%
NEW
$30,625 Vol.
NEW
$30,625 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
71°F or below
$377 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,869 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,308 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$4,892 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$7,810 Vol.
70%
80-81°F
$3,287 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$487 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$391 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping coastal Los Angeles temperatures in the upper 70s on August 8, 2026, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 69.5%.** National Weather Service forecasts for stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) consistently project a daily maximum near 77–79°F under persistent low clouds and fog that limit daytime heating. This marine moderation is typical for the LA basin in early August, when sea-surface temperatures and prevailing westerly winds suppress inland-style warming.
Inland or downtown locations may briefly reach the low 80s, but the official high—often resolved against coastal airport data—remains anchored in the 78-79°F range. Recent model runs show no significant offshore wind event or ridge strengthening that would push temperatures higher, which is why 76-77°F and 80-81°F each hold only 12.5% implied probability. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and afternoon observations, as any late-day clearing could nudge the final reading within the leading bin or slightly above it.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$30,625End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping coastal Los Angeles temperatures in the upper 70s on August 8, 2026, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 69.5%.** National Weather Service forecasts for stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) consistently project a daily maximum near 77–79°F under persistent low clouds and fog that limit daytime heating. This marine moderation is typical for the LA basin in early August, when sea-surface temperatures and prevailing westerly winds suppress inland-style warming.
Inland or downtown locations may briefly reach the low 80s, but the official high—often resolved against coastal airport data—remains anchored in the 78-79°F range. Recent model runs show no significant offshore wind event or ridge strengthening that would push temperatures higher, which is why 76-77°F and 80-81°F each hold only 12.5% implied probability. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and afternoon observations, as any late-day clearing could nudge the final reading within the leading bin or slightly above it.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,625End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer influence and onshore flow are keeping coastal Los Angeles temperatures in the upper 70s on August 8, 2026, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 69.5%.** National Weather Service forecasts for stations such as Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) consistently project a daily maximum near 77–79°F under persistent low clouds and fog that limit daytime heating. This marine moderation is typical for the LA basin in early August, when sea-surface temperatures and prevailing westerly winds suppress inland-style warming. Inland or downtown locations may briefly reach the low 80s, but the official high—often resolved against coastal airport data—remains anchored in the 78-79°F range. Recent model runs show no significant offshore wind event or ridge strengthening that would push temperatures higher, which is why 76-77°F and 80-81°F each hold only 12.5% implied probability. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and afternoon observations, as any late-day clearing could nudge the final reading within the leading bin or slightly above it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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