Current forecast guidance from NOAA and ensemble models points to a moderate marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 9, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer patterns where persistent low clouds and sea breezes limit daytime heating below the seasonal average high near 84°F, consistent with historical analogs for early August under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent strong offshore flow, with 76-77°F as the next most likely range. Traders are monitoring the National Weather Service's final short-term updates and any shifts in 500 mb heights that could alter the marine influence before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
$113 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$28 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$112 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$528 Vol.
47%
80-81°F
$98 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$191 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$28 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$133 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$111 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NOAA and ensemble models points to a moderate marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 9, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer patterns where persistent low clouds and sea breezes limit daytime heating below the seasonal average high near 84°F, consistent with historical analogs for early August under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent strong offshore flow, with 76-77°F as the next most likely range. Traders are monitoring the National Weather Service's final short-term updates and any shifts in 500 mb heights that could alter the marine influence before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,841End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NOAA and ensemble models points to a moderate marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 9, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer patterns where persistent low clouds and sea breezes limit daytime heating below the seasonal average high near 84°F, consistent with historical analogs for early August under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent strong offshore flow, with 76-77°F as the next most likely range. Traders are monitoring the National Weather Service's final short-term updates and any shifts in 500 mb heights that could alter the marine influence before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,841End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from NOAA and ensemble models points to a moderate marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 9, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer patterns where persistent low clouds and sea breezes limit daytime heating below the seasonal average high near 84°F, consistent with historical analogs for early August under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent strong offshore flow, with 76-77°F as the next most likely range. Traders are monitoring the National Weather Service's final short-term updates and any shifts in 500 mb heights that could alter the marine influence before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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